Illinois offers affordable entry points for first-time buyers

by Rachel Bader, HW Data

Illinois stands out for affordability as sales stay competitive. HW Data’s Oct. 3 report shows a statewide median list price of $317,000 with 16,108 active listings. The Market Action Index continues to lower and about 36% of active listings recorded a price reduction during the week. New supply totaled 1,810 listings while 2,103 homes moved under contract.

Statewide affordability versus national levels

Illinois’ median list price of $317,000 sits well below the national figure of $444,900, which helps keep buyers in the market even as competition persists. Active listings total 16,108 statewide, and under contract activity outpaced new supply during the week with 2,103 homes absorbed versus 1,810 new listings. That relationship points to steady demand at accessible price points and reinforces the importance of positioning near recent comps.

Absorption outpaces new supply

The volume of homes under contract outpaced new listings by 16%, indicating demand is absorbing inventory faster than it arrives. That gap reinforces a competitive environment for accurately priced homes. The statewide Market Action Index is 39.8, a level that leans toward sellers but sits closer to balance. HW Data’s Market Action Index measures the balance between supply and demand, and higher values indicate stronger seller conditions.

Pricing adjustments keep pace with demand

Roughly one in three listings took a price cut during the period. That share indicates sellers are calibrating to meet active buyers, especially in neighborhoods with comparable inventory. When list prices align with recent activity, time to contract tends to shorten.

Metro contrasts add nuance to pricing

Conditions vary by metro. In the Chicago area, HW Data shows a median list price near $399,990 with 10,962 active listings and a Market Action Index around 40. About 35% of active listings took a reduction during the week, and 1,511 homes went under contract against 1,183 new listings. The metro’s higher price point and concentrated inventory mean accurately priced homes draw attention quickly, while measured reductions help listings compete within neighborhoods that have multiple comparable options.

First-time homebuyers find affordable entry points

Newly listed homes came to market at a lower median of $299,900. With 1,810 new listings added, that pricing gap highlights how fresh supply is being introduced below the broader statewide median, giving buyers additional options at lower entry points.

Weekly signals to watch into fall

Price reductions near one third of listings and absorption running ahead of new supply are key signals as the season progresses. The weekly gap between new and under contract counts was roughly 300 homes, and the market action index remains close to 40, indicating conditions that still lean toward sellers but are not far from balanced. Tracking these metrics alongside local comps can help set realistic expectations on timing and support data informed pricing decisions across Illinois submarkets.

Takeaway for housing professionals

Affordability remains a key driver in Illinois. Lenders can frame payments against local pricing while agents guide sellers on timely adjustments. Monitoring weekly reductions and under contract counts will help set expectations by submarket.

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Stevan Stanisic

Stevan Stanisic

+1(239) 777-9517

Real Estate Advisor | License ID: SL3518131

Real Estate Advisor License ID: SL3518131

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